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'Our polling methods are bunk': Political science professor says pollsters have NO IDEA who will vote in November
Topic Started: Oct 17 2016, 11:03 AM (175 Views)
W A Mozart
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Quote:
 
'Clinton leads, but our polling methods are bunk,' the headline of his latest op-ed for The Hill declares.

Norpoth's model, which has been correct since it was first used in 1996, has Donald Trump winning on Nov. 8 with an 87 percent degree of certainty.
Based on Trump's and Clinton's performances in their party primaries, The Primary Model projects that the Republican businessman will beat the former secretary of state with 52.5% to her 47.5% of the two-party vote.


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3844002/Our-polling-methods-bunk-Political-science-professor-says-pollsters-NO-IDEA-vote-November.html#ixzz4NM4mI2XX

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W A Mozart
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Probably not true, ...but interesting.

Mozart
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George Aligator
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Polling techniques have become more difficult in recent years because of changes in demographics, cell phone use, and other factors. But the professor overstates the problems and past experience does not support his dire predictions. Compare the polling predictions during the past primary voting season with the actual results. Polls are pretty accurate and especially good at spotting trends.
Conservatism is a social disease
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W A Mozart
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But, it was true.

Mozart
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Robert Stout
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The article makes some good points....Polls missed that angry white guys vote in HUGE numbers when they are thoroughly pissed............. :mad:
Jesus can raise the dead, but he can't fix stupid
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