Welcome Guest [Log In] [Register]
Welcome to Perspectives. We hope you enjoy your visit.


You're currently viewing our forum as a guest. This means you are limited to certain areas of the board and there are some features you can't use. If you join our community, you'll be able to access member-only sections, and use many member-only features such as customizing your profile, sending personal messages, and voting in polls. Registration is simple, fast, and completely free.


Join our community!


If you're already a member please log in to your account to access all of our features:

Username:   Password:
Add Reply
Big Republican Advantages Are Eroding in the Race for House Control
Topic Started: Feb 12 2018, 12:37 PM (59 Views)
George Aligator
Member Avatar

The Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot has slipped over the last few weeks. But Republicans have gradually lost advantages of their own.

Slowly but surely, the considerable structural advantages — like incumbency, geography and gerrymandering — that give the Republicans a chance to survive a so-called wave election are fading, giving Democrats a clearer path to a House majority in November.

The Republicans still retain formidable advantages, enough to win the House while losing the popular vote by a wide margin. But their edge has shrunk considerably over the last few months, and even more over the last few years.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/12/upshot/big-republican-advantages-are-eroding-in-the-race-for-house-control.html
Conservatism is a social disease
Offline Profile Quote Post Goto Top
 
PATruth
Member Avatar

History predicts the GOP will lose at least the House or the Senate, maybe both. Remember Obama's "shellacking?" Remember Ole Willy Clinton's midterm azz whopping?

Don't be surprised, it should be expected. No one likes government, especially the party in power.
"No. No he won't. We'll stop it."
Offline Profile Quote Post Goto Top
 
thoughtless
Member Avatar

It's true that history predicts losses to the party in power during the mid-terms.

However, our current state of politics is unique to any other time in our history. Never have we been as polarized across so many different constitutes. It's no longer just Republican vs Democratic, but rich vs poor, male vs female, rural vs urban, college vs non-college, etc.

Nobody thought Trump would be president a short while ago. I think we can expect a lot more surprises in the future.
Without geometry, life is pointless.
Offline Profile Quote Post Goto Top
 
70-101
Member Avatar

Both the mid-terms, and the general election, will be about one thing, and one thing only, the removal of Trump from the presidency.

If a sky-high economy won't raise Trumps job approval numbers above 42% he stands zero chance of being reelected. Especially considering he has a near 55% disapproval average. Throw in the fact congresses approval rating is about 17% - with a nearly 75% disapproval rating. And the fact the GOP is now saying they're going to cut Medicaid - Medicare benefits funding due largely to budget constraints, after giving billionaires a huge tax cut, and you have all the makings of a Blue Wave of Epic Proportions.

No wonder Paul Ryan's retiring, he doesn't want to be held responsible for whats in-store for the GOP come November. :shakeshead:


Edited by 70-101, Feb 12 2018, 02:23 PM.
Offline Profile Quote Post Goto Top
 
PATruth
Member Avatar

thoughtless
Feb 12 2018, 01:22 PM
It's true that history predicts losses to the party in power during the mid-terms.

However, our current state of politics is unique to any other time in our history. Never have we been as polarized across so many different constitutes. It's no longer just Republican vs Democratic, but rich vs poor, male vs female, rural vs urban, college vs non-college, etc.

Nobody thought Trump would be president a short while ago. I think we can expect a lot more surprises in the future.
No, it's no different. The democrats have tried to make it about but rich vs poor, male vs female, rural vs urban, college vs non-college, black vs white but's the same old crap. The only difference is the democrats can't accept Hillary losing. Rather silly, she lost because she was the most corrupt pile of human trash to ever win a major party presidential nomination but the democrats aren't bright enough to figure that out.

Edited by PATruth, Feb 12 2018, 02:38 PM.
"No. No he won't. We'll stop it."
Offline Profile Quote Post Goto Top
 
1 user reading this topic (1 Guest and 0 Anonymous)
« Previous Topic · Op EDITORIALS: personal & political governance · Next Topic »
Add Reply