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What happens if Sanders wins California?; ?
Topic Started: Jun 3 2016, 11:44 AM (728 Views)
estonianman
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A new poll suggests Sen. Bernie Sanders may be moving ahead of Hillary Clinton in California days ahead of the high-stakes primary there.

The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll found Sanders 1 point ahead of Clinton among eligible primary voters, the first survey to put Sanders ahead of Clinton. Sanders was ahead of Clinton 44-43, according to the poll.

However, the poll also found that Clinton leads Sanders 49-39 among likely voters.

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/sanders-surpasses-clinton-in-new-california-poll/article/2592911
MEEK AND MILD
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Nothing happens, except the party splits up the delegates proportionately and the Berners bitch about the process, again claiming they got screwed with little or no evidence other than the vote count.

Or, just another day.
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CautionaryTales
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What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.


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estonianman
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CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 11:51 AM
What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.
So by the numbers Sanders is out? even with a california win?
Edited by estonianman, Jun 3 2016, 11:56 AM.
MEEK AND MILD
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Robertr2000
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CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 11:51 AM
What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.
Super delegates can change their vote at any time.
"if that **** wins we'll all hang from nooses"
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estonianman
Jun 3 2016, 11:55 AM
CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 11:51 AM
What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.
So by the numbers Sanders is out? even with a california win?
She may go over the top with NJ earlier that day. Both are proportional distribution, so it would take HUGE wins by Bernie to hold her off.

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CautionaryTales
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Robertr2000
Jun 3 2016, 12:27 PM
CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 11:51 AM
What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.
Super delegates can change their vote at any time.
They could, but they won't.
Superdelegates are generally the establishment sort of people that Sanders has been running against.
Why would they switch their votes to the guy that wants to tear down the house?


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Opinionated
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wilmywood8455
Jun 3 2016, 12:35 PM
estonianman
Jun 3 2016, 11:55 AM
CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 11:51 AM
What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.
So by the numbers Sanders is out? even with a california win?
She may go over the top with NJ earlier that day. Both are proportional distribution, so it would take HUGE wins by Bernie to hold her off.

Yes. Bernie would basically have to completely dominate the NJ primary and then do the same in California. While not impossible, it is highly unlikely.
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CautionaryTales
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I will be happy to cast my vote for Clinton in NJ this coming Tuesday.


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Opinionated
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CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 01:20 PM
Robertr2000
Jun 3 2016, 12:27 PM
CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 11:51 AM
What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.
Super delegates can change their vote at any time.
They could, but they won't.
Superdelegates are generally the establishment sort of people that Sanders has been running against.
Why would they switch their votes to the guy that wants to tear down the house?
As long as the establishment candidate has the majority of the primary vote, they're not going to switch their votes to the anti-establishment candidate. Most of these guys ARE the establishment, after all. So nothing short of pretty much overwhelming voter support of the anti-establishment candidate is likely to move them. Or, possibly, if Hillary were to suddenly show herself to be in some way unsuitable, like experiencing an nervous breakdown or stage or there was a legitimate warrant issued for her arrest, or something crazy like that.

I'm not banking on it.
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Two a.m.
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It won't make much difference to the numbers but it would be very embarrassing to her. Over the long run, not much effect.
"The stars can be near or distant, according as we need them." - George Orwell, 1984
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Robertr2000
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CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 01:20 PM
Robertr2000
Jun 3 2016, 12:27 PM
CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 11:51 AM
What happens?
Clinton wins enough delgates to be nominated.
Super delegates can change their vote at any time.
They could, but they won't.
Superdelegates are generally the establishment sort of people that Sanders has been running against.
Why would they switch their votes to the guy that wants to tear down the house?
Super delegates have never changed their vote.

Got it.
"if that **** wins we'll all hang from nooses"
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CautionaryTales
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Robertr2000
Jun 6 2016, 11:55 AM
CautionaryTales
Jun 3 2016, 01:20 PM
Robertr2000
Jun 3 2016, 12:27 PM

Quoting limited to 3 levels deepSuper delegates can change their vote at any time.
They could, but they won't.
Superdelegates are generally the establishment sort of people that Sanders has been running against.
Why would they switch their votes to the guy that wants to tear down the house?
Super delegates have never changed their vote.

Got it.
Did I say that Robert?


Try again buddy. If you are gonna "get it" get it right.
Edited by CautionaryTales, Jun 6 2016, 01:09 PM.


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CautionaryTales
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At 8:01 tomorrow night the news agencies will declare Hillary Clinton the presumed Democratic Party nominee.

No matter what happens in California
Edited by CautionaryTales, Jun 6 2016, 01:21 PM.


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